Fatah and Hamas have started reconciliation talks in Cairo. If they succeed, Israeli tax transfers will benefit Hamas directly, rather through the wages of its members in Palestinian civil service.
The reconciliation is likely, as Abbas is under heavy pressure from younger Fatah leadership for his collaboration with Israel during the Gaza operation. A unity government with Hamas would boost Abbas’ reputation among radicals.
On other hand, Dahlan and Barghouti, two likely successors to Abbas, vehemently oppose the reconciliation, which would bring Hamas back into the political process and diminish their own electoral chances.
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