(Sunday 23 November 2008)
IT is quite possible that even the relatively calm Alistair Darling has been throwing his toys out of his pram recently, so many people have been telling him what he absolutely must do in his forthcoming Budget to save the crisis-hit economy of Britain.
Alternatives being given to him have ranged from the frankly self-serving offerings of the Confederation of British Industry, through the manic maunderings of Digby Jones, to the rather more considered positions of UNISON, the Green Party, the STUC and the National Pensioners Convention.
Unfortunately, it is more likely that Mr Darling, who has proved himself to be the personification of new Labour's cowardice when dealing with big business, will hearken more to the supplications of CBI boss and erstwhile Financial Times editor Richard Lambert and Mr Jones than the voices of real people.
Mr Lambert has, unusually, been of almost maidenly modesty, refusing to make clear any great detail about the CBI 10-point plan which he claims would get the economy back on track.
Perhaps more will be revealed at the CBI conference which opens on Monday, but the signs are not good, with hints of improving cash flow to business, reducing employers' National Insurance contributions and freezing business rates being among Mr Lambert's less than helpful suggestions.
And as for Mr Jones, who appears to believe that the flight from Britain of all business leaders to Mumbai is imminent should they not immediately become the recipients of massive tax breaks, the less said about his suggestions the better, although there are hints in the weekend papers that Mr Darling may take at least some of his burblings seriously.
Reports that the Chancellor is contemplating a temporary reduction in VAT to 15 per cent are disturbing, since that would be the least efficient use of resources possible, not to mention the most socially unacceptable.
Despite the fact that VAT does hit poorer people harder than the better-off, there are far more effective and more closely targeted ways of injecting liquidity into the economy.
There are better ideas from other sources that the Chancellor should take on board as a matter of urgency.
As immediate measures, there is much to recommend the suggestions that the poorest members of society are removed from the tax bracket entirely, that pensions are immediately boosted, that unemployment pay is lifted from its present, abysmally low, levels and that the minimum wage is raised to a more realistic level.
These measures have the advantage of feeding the cash directly into the economy, since all of those groups are in desperate need of more disposable income to spend on necessities.
And, to still the worries of Tory leader David Cameron, they could be paid for, not from borrowing but from increased taxation on the rich and, at the suggestion of the PCS union, reclaiming the £40 billion plus of tax avoided, evaded or uncollected at the moment.
Add to this a huge increase in the construction of affordable homes for rent and a real effort to take control of banks which are effectively publicly owned and forcing them to implement a programme of investment in manufacturing and from this crisis could come a real leap forward for Britain, rather than merely a temporary, soon to be reversed, drop in VAT or yet another bonus for the bosses.
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